Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.206793 0.238824 0.275569 0.321152 0.376609 0.442441 0.527334
2025-05-25 0.158241 0.199060 0.251345 0.324563 0.426651 0.567410 0.782573
2025-06-01 0.128353 0.171493 0.231319 0.323087 0.465533 0.687907 1.082974
2025-06-08 0.107717 0.150560 0.213669 0.317652 0.493799 0.799419 1.420992
2025-06-15 0.096231 0.139915 0.207800 0.327179 0.546720 0.969052 1.956431
2025-06-22 0.084411 0.126455 0.194528 0.320518 0.568088 1.087254 2.459163
2025-06-29 0.076741 0.118233 0.188074 0.323873 0.608800 1.261368 3.227842
2025-07-06 0.069378 0.109376 0.178905 0.319836 0.632721 1.407739 4.047656
2025-07-13 0.064666 0.104352 0.175646 0.326535 0.682236 1.642191 5.406911
2025-07-20 0.060774 0.100225 0.173317 0.334524 0.737449 1.922888 7.323617
2025-07-27 0.057285 0.096368 0.170871 0.341657 0.793102 2.239458 9.947152
2025-08-03 0.054497 0.093464 0.169842 0.351767 0.860711 2.643332 13.953299
2025-08-10 0.051329 0.089555 0.166370 0.355814 0.914378 3.044966 19.198773
2025-08-17 0.048285 0.085573 0.162240 0.357538 0.962764 3.472092 26.394099
2025-08-24 0.045266 0.081325 0.156970 0.355283 0.998132 3.878467 35.555294
2025-08-31 0.042284 0.076860 0.150656 0.349002 1.017959 4.233336 46.549338
2025-09-07 0.040731 0.075194 0.150460 0.359684 1.104814 5.061059 73.680453
2025-09-14 0.038187 0.071194 0.144350 0.352171 1.119222 5.475378 98.068708
2025-09-21 0.036536 0.068962 0.142168 0.355945 1.182141 6.312066 152.626351
2025-09-28 0.034570 0.065870 0.137549 0.351400 1.208461 6.930422 219.266181
2025-10-05 0.033392 0.064413 0.136793 0.358940 1.293765 8.194894 393.439570
2025-10-12 0.032360 0.063192 0.136480 0.367940 1.392027 9.808035 789.355432
2025-10-19 0.031346 0.061922 0.135892 0.375982 1.491388 11.709369 1758.717245